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We've known for a few days now that the Orlando Magic would have an 8.8 percent chance of owning the top pick in the 2015 NBA Draft. The conclusion of the NBA's regular season Wednesday night, however, crystalized the rest of the board and gave us a concrete idea of which teams have how many lottery combinations when the ping-pong balls get vacuumed up on May 19th.
Below are the full lottery odds.
| Team | Record | Top pick % | Top-three pick % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 16-66 | 25.0 | 64.3 |
| New York Knicks | 17-65 | 19.9 | 55.8 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 18-64 | 15.6 | 46.5 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 21-61 | 11.9 | 37.8 |
| Orlando Magic | 25-57 | 8.8 | 29.2 |
| Sacramento Kings | 29-53 | 6.3 | 21.5 |
| Denver Nuggets | 30-52 | 4.3 | 15.0 |
| Detroit Pistons | 32-50 | 2.8 | 10.0 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 33-49 | 1.7 | 6.1 |
| Miami Heat | 37-45 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Utah Jazz* | 38-44 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Indiana Pacers* | 38-44 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Phoenix Suns | 39-43 | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 45-37 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
Because the Jazz and Pacers finished with identical records, a coin flip will determine which of the two teams gets an extra tenth of a percentage point in landing the top overall pick.
In the last five NBA Draft Lotteries, the team with the fifth-best odds--which Orlando holds in 2015--has won the lottery once, retained the fifth pick once, moved down to sixth twice, and moved down to seventh once. The Magic can pick no worse than eighth in the 2015 NBA Draft.