Matt Barnes [...] has thrived as a small-ball power forward. He's launching nearly five 3s a game while averaging 14.1 points and 4.5 assists under [Alvin Gentry].
Orlando's Jameer Nelson shot 9-for-9 from the field Monday, capping a four-game run where he's averaged 26.3 points while shooting 35-of-64. For the season he's at 53.2 percent from the floor and 43.2 percent on 3-pointers, and his PER of 20.87 makes the All-Star whispers you're starting to hear seem justifiable.
Oddly, Nelson has done this in part by going to the basket much less often. His free throw rate is barely half of what it was a year ago, while he's taking far more midrange jumpers and canning them at a ridiculous rate -- he's 51-for-87 so far (58.6 percent).
The Fluke Rule, if you aren't familiar, states that a player who is older than 28, has a Player Efficiency Rating higher than 14 and increased his PER by at least three points from the previous season is 90 percent likely to perform worse the next season.