FanPost

Recent history of the 3rd pick in lottery


In all likelihood the Magic will receive the third highest percentage of landing the top pick in the draft. Curiosity led me to do some research and see what history has to tell us about this pick and what to expect.

Going back over the last 11 seasons, the pick of the team with the third highest percentage is somewhat interesting. To date, there have been ties in 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009 and 2012 and I've noted both picks. Below are the teams and where they picked (ties in parenthesis).

2013: Cleveland - 1st

2012: New Orleans - 1st (Cleveland - 4th)

2011: Toronto - 5th

2010: Sacramento - 5th

2009: LA Clippers - 1st (Washington - 5th)

2008: Memphis - 3rd (Minnesota - 5th)

2007: Milwaukee - 6th

2006: Atlanta - 3rd (Charlotte - 5th)

2005: New Orleans - 4th (Charlotte - 5th)

2004: Washington - 5th

2003: Toronto - 4th

The interesting part is that none of these drafts has the team netted the second overall pick. All picks (11), plus the ties (5), equal 16 and pan out as follows:

5th pick - 7 (44%)

1st pick - 3 (19%)

4th pick - 3 (19%)

3rd pick - 2 (12%)

6th pick - 1 (6%)

These numbers give us a 50% chance of landing in the top 4 which is where I think we need to be to grab one of the elite (Wiggins, Parker, Exum, Embiid). Somewhat concerning how popular the 5th spot tends to be, just some food for thought.

This FanPost was made by a member of the Orlando Pinstriped Post community, and is to be treated as the opinions and views of its author, not that of the blogger or blog community as a whole.

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