How Von Wafer Helps the Orlando Magic's Offense
The play of journeyman two-guard Von Wafer has proven pleasantly surprising for the Orlando Magic during the 2011/12 campaign. Acquired from the Boston Celtics, essentially as a throw-in, in the sign-and-trade deal involving Glen Davis and Brandon Bass, Wafer is averaging 6.1 points per game in just 13.2 minutes. He's scored in double-digits on four occasions, and when he plays 10 minutes or more he averages 8.4 points on 47 percent shooting.
So how has Wafer, an unheralded, undrafted player out of Florida State with just one notably productive NBA season in six years, managed to make the most of his spotty minutes in Orlando?
First, some statistics to lend context to our efforts here. Wafer leads all Magic wings in points per minute--he averages 16.5 per 36--and leads all Magic players in True Shooting, the best measure of scoring efficiency. Further, among shooting guards and small forwards, only Vince Carter, Jamal Crawford, and Carmelo Anthony are assisted less frequently in their shot attempts at the rim, according to HoopData. In other words, only three of Wafer's positional peers are more effective at getting their own shot off right at the basket.
That information is helpful, but it only tells us about his raw productivity. I wanted to know what specifically about Wafer makes him such a potent scorer, so I consulted the stat- and video-logging service Synergy Sports Technology to watch all of Wafer's offensive plays in Magic pinstripes.
In scrutinizing Wafer's possessions--which, for the uninitiated, refers to shot-attempts, free-throw attempts, and turnovers--one aspect of his game stood out most: his willingness to go hard once he gets the ball. Wafer isn't a guy who's going to spend a lot of time, if any, sizing up the defense. No, he's going to launch toward the rim, shedding defenders with a crossover dribble and a Eurostep in the process.
Decisiveness isn't the only factor that makes Wafer an effective offensive player, however. Dude's quick, too, by far the quickest and most dynamic wing scorer Orlando's had since Steve Francis. He punishes defenders who close out on him too hard by beating them with his devastating first step. When he builds up a full head of steam, it's lights out:
The speed with which Wafer plays makes him tough to guard, but also makes him a bit sloppy. On many of his turnovers, he simply lost track of the ball when trying to split defenders, especially in pick-and-roll situations. The fact that he's not much of a playmaker--he has 11 assists in 225 minutes as of Tuesday's action--means when the ball winds up in his hands, he's going to fire up a shot or turn the ball over.
But Wafer can get away with that, really, because he tends to take good shots. Few of the Wafer possessions I watched ended with him taking a suspect shot off the dribble. High-usage scoring guards with low assist rates tend to have awful shot-selection: look at Nick Young, for perhaps the most obvious example. Yet Wafer's hoops IQ seems to be higher than what his positional DNA might indicate.
Wafer is also effective away from the ball as a catch-and-shoot threat, going 6-of-13 on three-pointers off the catch this season. That's less than one attempt per game, but it nonetheless indicates he's not merely a shot-creator.
It's possible Wafer's effectiveness will wane as the year progresses, as he's shooting 52.7 percent on two-pointers, compared to a 45.7 percent career mark on shots inside the arc. And he'd have to make a bigger defensive impact to begin eating into J.J. Redick's minutes. But for now, he's playing brilliantly at the offensive end, and coach Stan Van Gundy needs to find some way to keep Wafer on the floor. He's far too productive to remain on the bench, as he did Monday against the Los Angeles Clippers.
More importantly, he's the Magic's most dynamic and explosive scoring option. He provides something different, something that the likes of Redick, Jason Richardson, Quentin Richardson, and Hedo Turkoglu can't. And he provides those elements within the framework of Van Gundy's offense.
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Vonilla Wafer
Has been great to watch, mainly because he’s willingness to drive to the rim rather than settle for the jump shot. Maybe it’s because I have a bias for players who get to the rim, but I would definitely like to see him playing increased minutes for Orlando.
Wafer will get his minutes as the coach leans more towards using J-Rich at SF - to rest Hedo - but his defense has a long way to go.
Learning is not compulsory, but have you learned anything today?
I was thinking the same thing.
J-Rich would have to move to SF often for Wafer to see more minutes because he’s just not going to get heavy minutes over Redick at SG.
But man, defensively that lineup is pretty terrible and small.
The intensity has to go up, up! Not down...UP! -Stan Van Gundy
Another victim of 1st year in SVG's system
I think Von is going to be a great asset for us, but for most players there’s at least a full one season learning curve in SVG’s system before they can turn their natural talent into effective talent for this team. Hopefully that’s the case for Von. And while I agree that Von shouldn’t be eating into JJ’s minutes, I could see a scenario where Stan is looking to see what kind of night JRich is having and then adjusting minutes accordingly.
With all of JRich’s inconsistencies from night to night he’s been pretty consistent in that when he start’s good he plays a good game, when he start’s bad, he doesn’t turn it around later. On those nights where he starts bad I’d love to see JJ and Von get more minutes.
The great part about Wafer to me is:
He is not afraid to cross that invisible wall called the 3 point line like most of the Magic players and he will take the ball to the rim.
I would love to see Wafer play MORE!
SVG should try to form chemistry in different lineups.
I still believe we’re a deep team when used the right way. I read SVG is contemplating sitting guys out for resting purposes. But I really don’t see him doing that because he rather have his players in a rythum more than just rested. The lineup I want to see is Turk, Wafer, JRich, Anderson, Howard or against smaller lineups we can go Meer, Wafer/JJ, JRich, Turk, Howard. But I think it’s important as a team that we PERFECT our zone defense, but Stan hates zone so that ain’t happening either. I don’t know. Just play Von more…
by Memphissleek on Feb 8, 2012 9:13 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Wafer is a victim of a bloated roster
The good news is the Magic could do some packaged trades if they see anything good offered and Wafer would possibly be the bench SG and see 20 minutes a night.
Reading my posts is a privilege and I will ban anyone who disagrees with me from the Internet for life.
Great line
He provides something different, something that the likes of Redick, Jason Richardson, Quentin Richardson, and Hedo Turkoglu can’t
"A man has got to have a code." -Bunk, Season 1; Omar, Season 4.
What about sitting Turk, he could be a good 6th man.
Star Reddick and Richardson, Waffer subbing JJ and getting more minutes.
Lineup looks small and slow defensively...
by eltharion_doa on Feb 8, 2012 10:36 PM EST via Android app up reply actions
I have really liked the way Von has played so far
I wish he would be used more. It isn’t like his D is so incredibly far behind J-Rich or JJ that he should lose some burn because of it. I am hoping that someone is dumb enough to take J-Rich off our hands after March 1st and we get to move JJ into the starting position and give Von more minutes.
We’re seeing more and more injuries pile up (mostly among the older vets) and it could increase J-Rich’s value to the point where we can grab a solid backup center or backup PG for him. It just sucks to have so limited options to improve the roster w/o trading Howard or Anderson….THANKS OTIS!
More likely JJ gets moved, I think
Richardson’s deal is…difficult.
by eltharion_doa on Feb 8, 2012 10:37 PM EST via Android app up reply actions
I would like to see Wafer get more burn.
It’s just had to see where he gets it from. J-Rich has been playing well lately, and JJ is going to be part of the rotation. Hedo is playing turrible right now, but if we’re going to go anywhere, we need him to play the well-rounded game he was in the beginning of the year. I don’t know if Wafer can play the 3 spot, so we’re kind of stuck there too. He didn’t help himself much with that tech he got against Indy that led to Stan pulling him immediately.
Either way, he’s the closest thing to a Jamal Crawford type player (that Stan has lamented not having in the past) we have, so he’s definitely worth checking out.
"We just want to chill" - Chris Bosh.
Proud Jameer and Rashard apologist since '07
Im with you on the "JRich has been playing well lately" thing
But that to me doesn’t warrant not playing Von. J Rich is a consistent player in the sense he’s either good for a game or bad. He doesn’t have games where he’s 1-7, then run off a 6-7 run the rest of the game. To me, he really just needs to be used early in games and if things start to go down, sit him. This is especially true in those back-to-back situations. He has been soooo much better on days where he gets at least 1 day of rest in between. It seems like a simple explanation. “J-Rich, its not clicking tonight, I need you for tomorrow, so we’ll get some rest tonight.” Straight up explanation seems to be the best way to deal w/ these guys and J-Rich seems like he understands situations like that.
Messes with his confidence to pull him if he doesn't start well.
He needs to know he can miss a few at the start of the games and still play.
If that doesn't sound like a sixth man I don't know what does.
Seems to me that the Magic’s problem has been that they get off to a good start and the energy dwindles in the second and third period.
When the second unit gets staggered in late in the first quarter, too many possessions end with the shot clock winding down and JJ or Davis trying to create a shot on their own or scrambling out of a pressure situation which is the exact opposite of their strengths.
A backcourt second unit of Wafer and J Rich is much more offensively potent and less reliant on ball movement to get shots and thus less turnover prone. In addition, with Dwight off the court, it allows Jason Richardson more post up opportunities which I think utilizes him much more efficiently than just a spot up 3 shooter.
A second unit of Duhon or Smith / Wafer / J Rich / Clark and Davis’ also seems more balanced in terms of size and speed.
I don't hate that second unit.
I don’t love it…but I don’t hate it.
The intensity has to go up, up! Not down...UP! -Stan Van Gundy
The defensive difference is negligible when compared to the unique skill set Wafer brings to the Magic.
• Using 82games’ 48 min production stats:
Von Wafer has played 15% of the Magic’s total SG minutes, while Jason Richardson has played 34% and JJ Redick 45%.
Wafer’s opponent counterparts at SG have been held to a PER of 5.7 and .404 eFG%. By comparison Redick has held opposing SG’s to a 10.4 PER (.472 eFG%) and Jason Richardson has held opposing SG’s to a 15.8 PER (.513 eFG%).
• Basketball-Reference.com has Wafer’s Defensive Rating at 106, Redick at 106, and RIchardson at 103.
• NBA.com’s stats cube has Jason Richardson with a Defensive Rating (team points allowed per 100 possessions) of 101.1, JJ Redick at 99.5 and Von Wafer at 102.8.
Caveat:
J-Rich has been playing against starting SG’s more often than not. JJ has been playing a mixture of starting and back-ups. Wafer has been playing against scrubs more often than not. The numbers are flawed.
He hasn’t been terrible defensively by any means. But with the limited practice time, he hasn’t had a lot of time to really lock in on the defensive rotations. Again, it’s really an unknown at this time, but the upside is worth trying out.
"We just want to chill" - Chris Bosh.
Proud Jameer and Rashard apologist since '07
You are right about the him playing vs back ups.
Though, I think most teams are stocked with a decent (either defensively and/or offensively) skilled wing off the bench. There’s just more talent at the wings than any other position.
Something else to also factor in is that J-Rich gets the luxury of a lot of extra space and reduced attention created by Ryan Anderson and Dwight. On the second unit, there is no real scoring threat (Davis, Duhon, Clark, Q) from at least 3 of the 5 players on the floor.
Great article
I was at the clips game. A lot of people were yelling for wafer. I’ve been a fan since I saw him in preseason. Send this link to van gundy!!!!!!
Von Wafer turned my head in the preseason...
And he continues to impress me. Go Von, go.
by yourdribbleizcookiez on Feb 8, 2012 1:54 PM EST reply actions
Ever since SVG sat Skip to my Lou and put Jameer in the 2009 finals...
…he stopped being an elite coach for me. I lost all the respect for this man.You guys dont have to agree with me but IMO SVG is one stubborn coach who wastes decent young talent by not letting them get the experience necessary in certain games (with the exception of Ryno and C.Lee back in 09 of course). Do you think a coach like J. Sloan or Hubbie Brown or Popovich is gonna waste that much talent and let them ride the pine the whole season?? DON’T THINK SO! With that said, I cant wait until we finally get a better coaching staff (and GM) who stops playing the OVERPAID likes of Duhon and uses more much needed talent such as Wafer Liggins etc….
I know this comment may have sounded a bit negative but it’s time to realize our coaching staff uses different tactics/schemes and we finally stop relying on the 3 pointers. I love this team and wanna see it go back to the top of the league where it belongs
SVG can only do so much with the roster that's been given him
Of course, he’s not perfect, but he’s trying his best to put the right lineups out there.
If you’re going to blame someone, look at GM Otis Smith more than the coaching staff.
Chicago Blackhawks... defense and goaltending must get better
Chicago Bears... entering a new era with Phil Emery as GM
"Orlando Pinstriped Post... the best, most modest Magic blog on the planet"
by Mike from Illinois on Feb 8, 2012 2:34 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
We'll stop relying on 3 pointers
when there are more players on this team that are good at anything else. You are vastly overestimating how much “decent young talent” exists on this team (hint: aside from Ryan and potentially Wafer next year once he figures out how to play average defense, there isn’t any).
I like to watch.
by MoveThoseChains on Feb 8, 2012 4:20 PM EST up reply actions
I think we have good young talent on this team
but we’re either grooming them( harper, liggins, and orton) or not using them much (clark and wafer). i rather them stop taking so many 3’s unless their open.
Players do most of their grooming in practice, where they earn playing time.
If they’re not playing in games, I completely believe it’s because they’re terrible in practice. And considering that Orton is a total bust, Clark is amazingly terrible at offense (what we so desperately need right now), and Harper and Liggins are 2nd round rookies, I completely understand why they’re not playing much. Yeah, Wafer probably should see the floor more, but only at the expense of Jason Richardson.
I like to watch.
by MoveThoseChains on Feb 8, 2012 6:06 PM EST up reply actions
What??????
I don’t think Orton is a bust. How can he be. we haven’t even seen what he can do. and clark isn’t as bad as you make him out to be. but hey that’s you.
The team declined the option on his 3rd year, something teams don’t usually do, because usually it’s a good deal…unless the player is terrible. Orton hasn’t been able to see time because he’s terrible, it was a total waste of a draft pick, and his Magic career will be over before it starts. If you don’t think that qualifies as a bust, then you need a new definition for bust.
I like to watch.
by MoveThoseChains on Feb 8, 2012 8:02 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
He's going to be a D-League player.
Bottom line. He didn’t do anything in college, and he’s doing even less in the pros. He’s only getting paid because Otis is dumb and the kid has good size.
"We just want to chill" - Chris Bosh.
Proud Jameer and Rashard apologist since '07
The overwhelmingly vast majority of the time
They are open.
by eltharion_doa on Feb 8, 2012 10:40 PM EST via Android app up reply actions
To me, the most pleasant surprise regarding Wafer has been his great efficiency
His TS% stands at 59.6%, while his eFG% is 54.7%. Compare that to his career averages of 51.5% TS% and 47.8% eFG. Could he keep up this season’s outstanding efficiency numbers with more playing time? Even if his efficiency numbers dropped a few percentage points with more PT, they would still be above average.
Chicago Blackhawks... defense and goaltending must get better
Chicago Bears... entering a new era with Phil Emery as GM
"Orlando Pinstriped Post... the best, most modest Magic blog on the planet"
by Mike from Illinois on Feb 8, 2012 2:30 PM EST reply actions
I think the key to him playing as well as he has is also the same as the gameplan for Dwight: spacing the floor.
He plays in a system where for most of the game four players are on the three point line with one near the paint. With the spacing like that, Wafer can use his “devasting first step” and get past his man to see a wide open paint. If he were to be in another system with people clogging the paint, I don’t believe he’d be as effective. Not worthless, but there would be at least one big man meeting him in the paint and making him shoot an awkward shot. If Wafer can keep using his speed to get to the rim and not rely solely on his jumpshot (though his shot is great), he’ll find playing time on the team. I just hope he can throwdown some more highlight-worthy dunks :)
"If Dwight spent more time practicing and less time b!tching, then maybe he’d be playing a little better." -My Mom

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