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NBA Free Agency: Jason Richardson the Lone Notable Orlando Magic Player in 2011 Class

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The Orlando Magic, like the rest of the NBA's teams, are preparing for a frenzied free-agent period. Beginning December 9th--just 16 days before the season tips off--teams can begin to sign players to new contracts; until that time, the NBA has prevented them from making offers--written or otherwise--to prospective free agents, though teams are indeed permitted to have contact with player agents. How the NBA plans to enforce this rule is both beyond me and the scope of this article.

At all rates, the Magic face few questions with regard to their own free agents. Orlando's roster is plenty flawed, as we saw in its first-round playoff loss to the Atlanta Hawks, which had all the elegance and pleasantness of a fully-blown balloon's erratic, flatulent flight when one suddenly lets the air out of its neck. However, the questions for Orlando don't so much concern keeping good talent from leaving as much as how to add talent from the outside.

Starting shooting guard Jason Richardson, reserve utility forward Earl Clark, and break-glass-in-case-of-emergency big man Malik Allen are Orlando's only free agents. President of Basketball Operations Otis Smith told the Orlando Sentinel that re-signing Richardson, who turns 31 in January, is his highest priority this offseason.

Below the jump, an evaluation of the Magic's free-agent standing with regard to its incumbent free-agents-to-be. This site will attend to Orlando's options with regard to other free agents later.

Star-divide

I'd argue that Smith ought to have higher priorities--and many of you echoed similar sentiments in the comments section yesterday. After averaging 19.3 points per game as the Phoenix Suns' go-to offensive player, and with All-Universe point guard Steve Nash feeding him pocket passes, Richardson posted 13.9 points per game with Orlando; hardly drew fouls or did anything but shoot from the outside; and flamed out to the tune of 10 points per game in 30.6 minutes on 33.3 percent shooting in the postseason.

But in the sense that Richardson is the lone free agent Orlando has who played a significant role on last year's team, Smith is right.

Behind Richardson, the Magic lack depth on the wings. Were he to walk outright in free agency, J.J. Redick would presumably inherit his starting role. Behind him would be veteran wing Quentin Richardson, along with rookies Justin Harper and DeAndre Liggins. Further complicating matters is the fact that Harper is more of a combo forward than a swingman, while the defensively-minded Liggins resembles more a combo guard than a classic wing.

(I am now reminded of the conversation Quentin Richardson and I had regarding positionality and apprehend I've written the previous paragraph as though I wasn't paying any attention at all.)

The decision between a shooting guard rotation of Jason Richardson or J.J. Redick-and-change isn't really between the two at all; it's not binary. Smith could elect to sign another team's unrestricted free agent to take Jason Richardson's place, or acquire one via trade... and from those options arise several other options which are too numerous to cover here. The point is that Orlando's most glaring flaw is its play on the wings, and more specifically shot creation from the wings. Jason Richardson did little in his 60-game Magic career to indicate he has the shot-creating ability requisite for an Orlando two-guard. Redick and Quentin Richardson don't have it either.

I would not rule out Clark's return entirely, but I also would not be surprised to see him sign with a rebuilding club that can better attend to his development, which is a gentler way of saying a team that can afford, from a competitive (i.e. not in the literal financial sense) standpoint to play him heavy minutes. Coach Stan Van Gundy raves about Clark's work ethic and potential as an impact defender. Orlando doesn't have a player with Clark's combination of speed, size, and hops; that Van Gundy assigned Clark to guard the likes of Carmelo Anthony, Amar'e Stoudemire, and Dirk Nowitzki last season attests to the confidence Van Gundy, who prizes defense, has in the young forward.

But Clark is far from polished, as one might expect from a lottery pick whose original team elected not to exercise its third-year contract option on him. Specifically, Clark's offensive game is what one might gently term "unrefined." Clark has yet to develop a consistent jumper, and thus defenses need not attend to him outside the immediate basket area. He does not have the handle requisite to be a slasher in the Thaddeus Young mold, nor is he a back-to-basket threat (to be fair to Clark, there are maybe, like, five good back-to-basket players in the NBA anymore). What he provides on offense is energy, as his rebounding numbers--three per 36 minutes, 10.1 percent of all available offensive boards--indicate.

But Clark, at 6-10, shot 44.1 percent from the field with Orlando. Which tops his rookie output of 37.1 percent, incidentally.

I don't mean to pile on Clark here. Orlando is wanting for athleticism and defense, which he can provide. I would not at all oppose the Magic's re-signing him at a price in the $2 million range.

As for Malik Allen? The veteran contributed 23 points, 32 rebounds, and 30 fouls in his 18-game Magic career, playing behind Dwight Howard following the trade of Marcin Gortat to Phoenix. Orlando needs a backup center, to be sure, but one who can provide more than one rebound every six minutes and can convert better than 35.5 percent of his shot attempts.

Which free agents ought Smith retain, and at what price? How risky a maneuver is letting Richardson walk, thus having to rely on free agency to round out the roster at two-guard?

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Orlando should sign Richardson, but at the right price.

If he plays as last year he is not a huge improvement over Redick. He won´t be a season changer player. It’s unlikely he’ll ever regain his phoenix form. At the same time the Magic madly need to be competitive this year in order to resing Howard; and Richardson is probably the best AVAILABLE SG we can sign.

by Leandro. on Dec 1, 2011 8:32 AM EST reply actions  

Again considering everything that is going on with Dwight.

I’ll be crest fallen if we sign J Rich to far more than he is worth. Now is not the time to be worried about someone else dishing out a better offer. It’s those “better offers” that end up becoming bad contracts, when said players efficiency severely drops. If he can’t get Richardson at a reasonable price then we’re better off picking up someone else on the market.

by waleo on Dec 1, 2011 9:09 AM EST reply actions  

Do not get into a bidding war for JRich

A single year MLE is all I’d offer. If he wants to stay with Orlando, he’ll sign. If not, let him walk. It’s clear from his Twitter posts during the lockout that he believes the players are far more valuable than they really are. It leads me to believe he overvalues his personal contributions and will take offense at any offer other than a multi-year in the $10M range. HIs signing will be an ego thing with him – let some other team pay the price.

We’re not winning it this year folks. Just not happening with or without Richardson. We’re in a rebuild phase and we need to build for the future. A long term contract for an aging wing isn’t the ticket. I’d be happy to see JJ and Q with the rooks behind them for this year.

I’d love to see Clark back.

Live life to the fullest, and do it in the fast lane

by UCLA_Alum on Dec 1, 2011 9:15 AM EST reply actions  

We’re not winning it this year folks. Just not happening with or without Richardson. We’re in a rebuild phase and we need to build for the future.

That’s the absolute truth. This season is far less important than making sure next season and the seasons after that are much better, achieved through roster flexibility and selling Dwight on potential. Re-signing Richardson, especially for an Otis-sized contract? That has potential…for disaster.

I like to watch.

by MoveThoseChains on Dec 1, 2011 4:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Recommended! This is a comprehensive assessment of the Magic's free agents from multiple angles.

The way forward, however, in picking options depends on the larger plans for the franchise. In simple – short – terms, if Dwight is going to leave, what is the value of this season for us to burden ourselves with further long-term contracts? In that sense, I dare to say that shedding salaries has to start right away, if we fail to convince Dwight to commit to stay based on the short and long term plans presented to him and his agent.

1 – Jason Richardson. Magic is best served to offer him a one-year deal even if it is a bit larger than he may earn in a free market on a multiyear deal per year. That is, if Dwight’s situation is still in limbo, otherwise all bids are off.
2 – Earl Clark. In a team low on young talents, a first round pick with potentials who is not going to break the bank, should not be laid to waste. The operative word, however, is “not breaking the bank” which has to be quantified.
3 – Malik Allen. Our front-line is so weak within which Allen seems like a critical piece, thanks to foolish trade of Gortat. Do we have a choice here? Yes, if we are willing to sign off on the season, we can have Bass to rotate between C and PF now that we have Harper in place.

by Matt1325 on Dec 1, 2011 9:23 AM EST reply actions  

I remember being so excited to get J-Rich.

He was the only thing I liked about that trade last year. But he didn’t perform nearly to the level I had hoped he would. Now I wouldn’t mind seeing him stay but it can’t be for big money. The Magic have to play moneyball in this situation and J-Rich doesn’t provide a lot of value for the money. Hopefully Otis isn’t completely stupid and realizes that.

Also Evan, I have to give you crazy props on this article. This is some of my favorite writing of yours. Example: “all the elegance and pleasantness of a fully-blown balloon’s erratic, flatulent flight when one suddenly lets the air out of its neck.” Priceless…and sadly true.

The intensity has to go up, up! Not down...UP! -Stan Van Gundy

by cgsimone on Dec 1, 2011 9:42 AM EST reply actions  

J Rich to a 3 year $24 mil contract

Still represents the best 2 guard option Orlando has. Definitely needs to be more vocal and assertive on the offensive end and please play defense 50% of the time, I have seen you play good d J Rich so do it. Keep Earl Clark. Only option Orlando has to defend the likes of Durant, Dirk and such. Nothing over 2 mill a year. Sign the rookies. Trade bass for a new back up pg. Amnesty gil.

Roll Bass and War Ryno for me

by Mateo9399 on Dec 1, 2011 11:20 AM EST reply actions  

Nice article Evan

I believe the Magic need to be in rebuild mode whether Howard stays or goes… just to varrying degrees. We just need to ‘re-tool’ the lineup to get under the cap to add a legit free agent if he is staying. And if he’s leaving we are in full out rebuilding mode. So either way we need to cut salary.

1. You have to amnesty Arenas. There’s just no way around it.
2. Try to get a draft pick and an expiring contract through a sign-and-trade of Jason Richardson. Boston (Jermaine O’Neal) and San Antonio (Antonio McDyess) have players on expiring deals and might make this trade for a scorer, to make one last push at a title before their respective windows close and they have to rebuild. Otherwise let Richardson walk and save the money.
3. Make a trade that will show Howard we are moving in the right direction and keep him smiling at the same time. Bring in his longtime, childhood friend Josh Smith. Nelson and Bass (and maybe a 2nd round pick if its needed) for Smith works financially and makes the Hawks better by giving them two starters to go along with Joe Johnson and Al Horford.
4. Make any other smaller moves necessary to help get under the cap for the summer of 2012 free agency. I like Redick, but if he’s the means to the end, then so be it. Trade anyone you have to but Dwight
5. Bring back Earl Clark on an apropriate deal.

My point is to say that no matter what we need to be cutting back salary. Either to land a big time free agent for Dwight, or if he leaves, to jump start the rebuilding process by not having bad contracts. I understand if all that happened we wouldn’t be very good next year, but its all about 2012 free agency.

by Justin85 on Dec 1, 2011 11:34 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

So in this scenario Duhon is not only the starting PG, but he's the only PG on the roster?

Yikes.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 11:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, but if you’re aiming for 2012 free agency, then there are backup PGs available on the market. It can be made to work.

But, if we have Hedo and get Josh Smith’s deal, it does not clear enough cap space. Justin85 needs a plan to lower the salary commitments even more to get enough space under the $58M cap to resign D12 and a FA PG.

"...sometimes your eyes lie to you..." ~SVG | I'm on Twitter

by magicfaninTN on Dec 1, 2011 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m ok with Duhon being the starter for a year, if in the end, it accomplishes our goal of landing a prime time PG.
I actually don’t think he would be that bad of an option (although I understand the most would disagree with me on that). He is a pass first PG who plays pretty good defense, and scoring is not a priorty for him, which is the ‘type’ of PG we need.
Also I would try Liggins at backup PG. From the research I done, he played PG until he got to college.

by Justin85 on Dec 1, 2011 2:24 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Question

Do we have Bird Rights on Earl Clark or not?

"...sometimes your eyes lie to you..." ~SVG | I'm on Twitter

by magicfaninTN on Dec 1, 2011 11:36 AM EST reply actions  

I think Evan addressed this sometime during the trades last December so I could be wrong, but I don't think we do.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

He is clearly an UFA since PHX did not extend the QO, but Larry Coon’s #26 leads me to believe we do have Bird Rights. Can anyone else find something in another Q&A in the FAQ that contradicts this? (I’m assume these provisions will largely carry over into the new CBA.) http://members.cox.net/lmcoon/salarycap.htm#Q26

"...sometimes your eyes lie to you..." ~SVG | I'm on Twitter

by magicfaninTN on Dec 1, 2011 12:04 PM EST up reply actions  

it seems as though after reading that that we should, simply because he was with the team for more than half a season and he is no longer on a rookie contract...

but I feel like reading that runs me around in circles, so I could be wayyyy off

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 12:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Not interested in JRich at all.

imo, the plan should be either:
(1) if Dwight is staying, clear cap space to sign premier PG.
(2) if Dwight is leaving, begin full rebuild.

Signing JRich works against both.

I’m hoping the market prices Orlando out of the equation. Sending JRich away via a S&T for an expiring contract or a TPE and a pick, well that’d be fine.

"...sometimes your eyes lie to you..." ~SVG | I'm on Twitter

by magicfaninTN on Dec 1, 2011 11:53 AM EST reply actions  

Yeah I think the only real way he helps this team is on a 1 yr, low salary deal

And obviously that won’t be the best offer he has available, so he wouldn’t be back here in your/my scenario.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Chris Paul asks Dwight Howard to find a way for them to play together
Paul has reached out to Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard recently, encouraging Howard to find a way for the two to play together, sources told Yahoo! Sports.

Adriane Wojnorowski

by MagicLA on Dec 1, 2011 2:36 PM EST reply actions  

idk how likely that is now that Paul has stated how much he wants to be in NY now

But….I think a scenario where NOLA moves Paul to Orlando for Nelson, Bassderson (either/or) JJ & 2 1st rounders is a smart move for both. Orlando might be the only team willing to give up all that for a Paul rental, and its still better than what the Knicks can offer. It gives Orlando a win-now shot at the title and a chance to convince both Dwight & Paul to resign here in Orlando. 2nd worst case scenario? Both opt out but Dwight resigns now knowing we have TONS of cap space, convnices D Will to sign here and we move along w/ those two. Worst case scenario? Both Dwight & Paul still opt out, we get nearly a clean slate in terms of salary cap space & rebuild (which we will be doing if Dwight leaves anyway). BUT the best part about this worst case scenario is that we at least went all in and gave it a shot to keep Dwight, and hell, we might even get a Larry O’Brien Trophy out of it.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Curious.

Lineup would probably be:

Paul, Duhon, Liggins
Gil, Q, Liggins
Hedo, Q, Harper
Bassderson (either), Clark, Hedo
Howard, Bassderson (either), Clark

For the rest of the year, with no committment from either Paul or Howard. I’d be curious about how the salaries would work, if that’d be possible. I’d miss JJ, and Anderson if he got traded…but that’s not terrible. You could hold off until the end of the season to choose who gets the Amnesty and who gets the Stretch, Hedo or Gil — giving them both incentive to play better in hopes of the being the one that isn’t cut.

by The BBQ Chicken Madness on Dec 1, 2011 3:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Whoops.

Sorry, forgot that Gil would likely be the main backup PG when Paul was out. He’d certainly get an opportunity with some serious play time…

Paul, Gill, Duhon, Liggins
Gil, Q, Liggins
Hedo, Q, Harper
Bassderson (either), Clark, Hedo
Howard, Bassderson (either), Clark

by The BBQ Chicken Madness on Dec 1, 2011 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

FYI. Reports so far are that you cannot use stretch provision on players signed under previous CBA. afaik.

"...sometimes your eyes lie to you..." ~SVG | I'm on Twitter

by magicfaninTN on Dec 1, 2011 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

As far as the numbers go:

A Nelson/Redick/Anderson deal works. Include 2 first round picks and we might have something there. You basically give NOLA whatever they want if it means getting Paul back and having a shot at retaining both and making a run.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

any chance

we could take back Okafor? as I am sure that would be part of any deal for Paul wit NO

Hedo is the player who should get the most heat for our first round exit, not Arenas

by supermantotherescue on Dec 1, 2011 6:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I think if we needed to, we should

basically, give them whatever they want outside of Dwight.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 8:20 PM EST up reply actions  

We could. But to do that we'd have to give up more players to make salaries work

The one I had has the three mentioned, Bass (since they’ll need more big men), and Q (since they don’t have any SG on their roster at the moment). Even then it isn’t bad since we get back two very productive players. The only thing we’d need is another SG (one we pick up in FA?) to balance out the roster.

EAT ME

by BigMac12111 on Dec 2, 2011 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd do that

Even without commitments, and even with (shudder) Gil.And if Gil can (unlikely) have a good year too that’d be a smoking line up.

Yugly.

by aakks on Dec 1, 2011 7:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Your "Worst Case" isn't right.

Worst case would be they both opt out and walk away without doing a sign and trade. While the Magic would have a ton of cap room, they would have nothing by way of the Draft for years, and a very hollowed out roster to fill.

Though, I think it’s worth mentioning that even if Howard decided to leave, I’d imagine he would still help work a sign&trade in the offseason to at least help get SOMETHING back to the Magic for his time here. Paul might do the same, which between the two of them might give the Magic something to work with.

by The BBQ Chicken Madness on Dec 1, 2011 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, I left that part out but you're right.

I was thinking that even if they “walked” there would still be some type of S&T involved.

You can't reason with stupid.

http://www.twitter.com/JShannonhouse3
http://www.twitter.com/Amway_Get_Loud

by JeffShann3 on Dec 1, 2011 4:57 PM EST up reply actions  

To me

With Ryan Anderson leaving in this trade, it is not so bad for New Orleans. You plug Ryno, man I really want to keep him, at the four and JJ and Jameer will be gone in two years and are valuable trade pieces. You can say that this is not enough, but who is going to trade enough pieces to hope that Paul would stay? The only team that could do it is LA Clips. Eric Bledsoe and Eric Gordon plus Kaman expiring are very enticing, but word is that they value Dwight more so will not risk trading pieces for anyone other than that.

Roll Bass and War Ryno for me

by Mateo9399 on Dec 1, 2011 7:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Funny.

I’m sure now, if Howard passes that along, Otis will look at trying to find a way to land Chris Paul. Because that certainly wasn’t something he was looking at before. /sarcasm

Though, it’s worth noting that if Paul “really” wants to play with Howard, and Howard “really” wants to play with Paul…then they may look at taking less money. This could help the Magic, since Howard does like Orlando, with the new aren, and his history/clout here.

by The BBQ Chicken Madness on Dec 1, 2011 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Good grief.

With the extra money CP3 and Dwight could make as FA re-signs with Orlando, they could charter a private jet to carry them back to NY or Miami for their party life (CP3 especially).

"...sometimes your eyes lie to you..." ~SVG | I'm on Twitter

by magicfaninTN on Dec 1, 2011 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I can’t find anything to support this.
Espn actually has a link to a story about his agent asking for a trade to New York.

by Justin85 on Dec 1, 2011 3:57 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Something wins championships

I understand the need to sign a player at SG because Redick and Q are not good enough players to hold down the position by themselves on a high performing team.

However, my assertion that it is not in the Magic’s best interest to re-sign Richardson is not predicated on the idea that Richardson is not good enough offensively to be worth re-signing. Rather I believe that it is his defensive shortcoming that make signing him folly.

If you go by the assumption that what the Magic need is a wing player that can create his own shot and then you look at the free agent pool. It quickly becomes apparent that such a player is not available. And then it can be reasoned that re-signing Richardson is better than not re-signing him as any other player the Magic sign will be equally ineffective at creating his own shot.

If that is the only attribute by which we are measuring players. Sure.

The thing is that I believe the Magic are better served by upgrading their perimeter defense on the wing. And if you view the free agent pool through that lens then there are many many options available. (Battier, Stevenson, Hill, the list honestly goes on and on)

Basically I contend that all available wings being equally inferior at creating and the only offensive characteristic of Richardson’s that needs to be replaced is his outside shooting. Then a better defender with comparable spot up shooting skills is an upgrade over Richardson even if that player lacks the pedigree of having averaged 20+ ppg as often or as recently as Richardson.

by aTasteLikeBurning on Dec 1, 2011 4:01 PM EST reply actions  

Question, and yes this may sound radical but desperate times require desperate ideas

I know Turk is slow, but can he play the Point? His length should be able to bother players, and if they get past him uh they do run into Dwight Howard. I ask this because, to me Orlando should make a play for Josh Smith. Plug him right at the 3. With that I think you resign Jason Richardson and Orlando would still be under the luxury tax line as long as it is not ridiculous(3 or 4 year at $24 million). Sign the rookies.

Back to Turk at the Point, that is basically what he is and it would definitely add height and length to the team at all spots. Also, when he feels like it Turk can play some excellent defense. So it sounds radical, but again options are limited.

Roll Bass and War Ryno for me

by Mateo9399 on Dec 1, 2011 7:32 PM EST reply actions  

I think Turk would get burned a lot at the point. I just don’t think he’s fast enough to stay in front of many of the guards, and I don’t think his length shuts them down.

I don't get the whole 'pop-tart cats pooping rainbows thing,' but then, I'm old. So, there it is.

by Redfield on Dec 1, 2011 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

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