Jason Williams' Vanishing Act
Yesterday, Josh Robbins reported that Orlando Magic president of basketball operations Otis Smith saying that he is open to bringing free-agent point guard Jason Williams, last year's backup to Jameer Nelson, back to the team as its third point guard. That news struck me as curious, given how dreadfully Williams played down the stretch last year, but even then, he's still a better option than a lot of the alternatives still on the market.
What I wanted to look at was Williams' monthly splits, to make sure I wasn't imagining his ugly second-half slump. And I wasn't. Williams went from being wildly overqualified as a second-stringer to an utter liability on both ends of the court just about overnight, to the point where I privately started wondering if coach Stan Van Gundy should consider dusting off third-stringer Anthony Johnson and giving him Williams' job.
From October to February, Williams played exceptionally well, relative to expectation. In addition to deft playmaking--he tallied a pure point rating of 6.64--he shot the lights out, posting a 57.0% True Shooting mark through the first 60 games of the season.
But Williams fared considerably worse in the 36 games the rest of the way, counting the postseason. Though his pure point rating dipped only slightly, to a still-impressive 5.82, his shooting is what hurt him, and by extension the Magic. His True Shooting figure, from March to the end of the Eastern Conference Finals? 48.7%.
As the Magic's backup, Williams doesn't have to do much other than make the right pass and get out of the way, and occasionally pop a jumper. (I really do mean "get out of the way:" Williams' usage rate of 14.43 ranked 42nd among 45 point guards who averaged 20 minutes per game and made at least 40 appearances, according to HoopData). As time wore on, his game appeared to wane. We can attribute [art of his early-season success to his role, as he filled in for Nelson as a starter for 17 games in November and December, but that still doesn't change the drastic drop-off in performance late in the year.
Given his low usage rate, it's clear that Williams isn't expected to be a scorer for this team. But the Magic's backup at least needs to be able to hit a jumper if pressed to do so. If he isn't converting his limited opportunities, he doesn't merit any attention from the defense, as Williams' diminished jets mean he's not a threat to drive. In short, Williams was not making jumpers, not breaking the defense down, and thus not helping much, even with his on-point, around-the-horn passing.
With all that said, Williams could be useful in an extremely limited role behind Nelson and Chris Duhon this season. He was brilliant over his first 1312 minutes in 2009/10. In small, extremely concentrated doses, he could be just as effective as a third-stringer, particularly in blowouts.
Williams played for the league minimum last season, and probably deserves a raise. The Magic can offer him the bi-annual exception, which is pricey for an end-of-bench guy at just over $2 million.
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5 paragraph; 4 sentence; supposed to be "alot"?
Magic fan since 99-00
Troy Hudson & Keith Bogans Biggest Fan
Williams can definitely help at the third PG spot.
Especially if Nelson gets hurt again this season. Then it will look like a brilliant move that we kept him.
The intensity has to go up, up! Not down...UP! -Stan Van Gundy
Williams would do better at the third PG spot
he will see less PT so he’ll have fresh legs and he wont burn out down the stretch.
I still think Anthony Johnson should be the 3rd PG
Especially since he’d most likely be back for the minimum.
DAAAAAD!!!!
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors." - Weldon Drew
I'll tell ya about the Magic It'll free your soul but it's like trying to tell a stranger 'bout rock n roll
"I thank my teammates for letting their men blow by them." - Alonzo Mourning after winning the DPOY award
by NC Magic Fan on Jul 29, 2010 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions
And randomly posterizing somebody once or twice a year
Honor is no substitute for victory.
He's definitely more ready to accept the role as a 3rd PG
He had some impressive moments driving to the basket and shooting 3s.
I think we need to sign one of 3 PG's
Travis Deiner, Chris Quinn or Acie Law
Any of which would be a good choice for a 3rd stringer.
but i think I would prefer Law due to his up side and potential development under Nelson and Duhon
Let's also consider it as a job advertisement
It’s not a very attractive job. Job tasks would be to warm Jameer’s seat, modelling the Magic bench apparel, and the ability to participate in dunk-offs. Okay, the last one sounds cool but yeah there’s also the fact you’ll probably be paid only the minimum. (BAE if you’ve got a good agent and Otis decides to benevolent once again with FAs)
You're all underrating
Williams’ towel waving ability. Nobody waves a towel like White Chocolate. Bring him back.
by eltharion_doa on Jul 29, 2010 6:18 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
We are talking about a 3rd PG, so he won't see time unless its garbage minutes in HUGE blowouts.
Is the price we would have to pay for Williams really worth it? I mean if we are gonna have someone sit on the bench and wave a towel, why not pay a younger player to do it who would be cheaper with their minimum than WC’s min. would be?
With Matt gone, we need the tatoos!!
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors." - Weldon Drew
I'll tell ya about the Magic It'll free your soul but it's like trying to tell a stranger 'bout rock n roll
"I thank my teammates for letting their men blow by them." - Alonzo Mourning after winning the DPOY award
by NC Magic Fan on Jul 29, 2010 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions
LOL. We still have Marcin. He has 1 right? and Jameer has about a few, along with a giant one on his back.
Maybe we could all bombard Marin’s Twitter account and tell him he needs to get a hammer tat? that would be funny.
I think he has more than one.
He has one on his leg and one on his arm, if I’m not mistaken. Then, there’s always JJ. He has a few tats too. They are seriously hardcore. One is a bible verse. How much more hardcore can you get?
I'm a girl too.
Haters gonna hate.
the miami heat landed E House
we might need a vet like j-will at the pg position, he’s a great passer and at a cheap price
Q: Jj redick, what does it mean that u lead the team in scoring in the 4th quarter? JJ's answer: "we blow out a lot of teams"
just curious why the Heat getting Eddie House would have any bearing whatsoever on who the Magic get for their 3rd string PG aka guy-in-suit?
3rd string PG vet sounds good to me. just because they did it too
Q: Jj redick, what does it mean that u lead the team in scoring in the 4th quarter? JJ's answer: "we blow out a lot of teams"
Says something that the did not sign J-Will
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors." - Weldon Drew
I'll tell ya about the Magic It'll free your soul but it's like trying to tell a stranger 'bout rock n roll
"I thank my teammates for letting their men blow by them." - Alonzo Mourning after winning the DPOY award
by NC Magic Fan on Jul 30, 2010 7:18 AM EDT up reply actions
Rafer Alston
If Eddie gets hot, Rafer could break his concentration by slapping him on the back of the head again.
Life's too short. Be a fan. Orlando Magic, Arizona Cardinals,Tampa Bay Rays and of course "the U"! What a winning combo.
by hevchv on Jul 30, 2010 6:11 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I've decided to give this thread some love since Brandon Bass is getting all the attention.
I'm a dude!
Orlando Pinstriped Post: Where game threads turn into online chat rooms!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPlLyVuMf7U
Williams' shooting numbers in last season's playoffs
In 14 playoff games, he scored 37 points on 13 of 38 from the field (34.2%), including 6 of 24 from three point range (25%), for an eFG% of 42.1%, and a TS% of 46.0%, obviously poor numbers.
His assist/turnover ratio of 23/5 during those 14 games remained impressive, though.
Orlando Magic... 2010 Eastern Conference Finalist
Chicago Blackhawks... 2010 NHL Stanley Cup Champions!!
by Mike from Illinois on Jul 29, 2010 11:01 PM EDT reply actions
Would be interesting IMO to include Jameer's rise in the article and compare if and how one affects the other.
Don't mind my spelling. I'm a Typo Master.
I don’t follow. Explain please.
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors." - Weldon Drew
I'll tell ya about the Magic It'll free your soul but it's like trying to tell a stranger 'bout rock n roll
"I thank my teammates for letting their men blow by them." - Alonzo Mourning after winning the DPOY award
by NC Magic Fan on Jul 30, 2010 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions
Only by observation seemed like J-Will was at his best when Nelson was down and struggling in the begining of his return. I was wandering if that is statisticaly true and at what degree. It was also clear that one point J-Will’s usage rate droped because all he seemed to do was feed VC in the top of the key and let him run things, I was wondering if SVG did that to try and give more “playmaking” to Vince or he knew that Williams didn’t have anything left in the tank.
Don't mind my spelling. I'm a Typo Master.
Just saw on Ben's twitter that he got mean e-mails from people defending J-Will ans Bass so,
1) forget that last post, I don’t want to seem defending J-Will
2) some folks here should really stop being jackasses (pardon my french), we are here to have fun and talk about a freaking basketball team. Have some respect for the guy that gives you the opportunity and the material to do so.
Don't mind my spelling. I'm a Typo Master.
by 44792212 on Jul 30, 2010 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions 5 recs
would love for white chocolate to be back!
"Pietrus is a Guadeloupan God." - TheNole9Yards
"I don't want a massage I want a FACIAL!"
--stay strong, Stacey King.
What about "The Magic Show"
AJ was the Ring Master and the J-Will/Rashard dunk was either the best or second best part of the show. Who is going to take over if they both are not returning?
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors." - Weldon Drew
I'll tell ya about the Magic It'll free your soul but it's like trying to tell a stranger 'bout rock n roll
"I thank my teammates for letting their men blow by them." - Alonzo Mourning after winning the DPOY award
We should sign a point guard out of europe
what you think about papaloukas or diamantidis they would like to come to a contender in USA if you rush me I think both could make duhon be the third PG
They would not take the Bi-annual at roughly $2 million.
we don’t have much money to work wirh here.
Looking at the list on ShamSports.com J-Will is likely the best choice if he will settle for the vets min money.
"We have a great bunch of outside shooters. Unfortunately, all our games are played indoors." - Weldon Drew
I'll tell ya about the Magic It'll free your soul but it's like trying to tell a stranger 'bout rock n roll
"This dude is huge....I've got to go home and eat like five chickens and put a lot of weight on. It's going to take a couple months, but seriously." - Marcin Gortat about Shaq.

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