Fun with Google Motion and Its Application to the Orlando Magic
If you haven't visited Hoopdata.com lately, you're missing out on a ton of goodies the site has been sharing with the public the last few weeks or so. I'm not exaggerating when I state that Hoopdata is the go-to source, along with Basketball-Reference and a few other resources, for NBA statistics and analysis. You'd be hard-pressed to find another outlet that provides some of the information Hoopdata does, like a Google Motion chart "filled with statistics to help you spot trends among the game's active players and across the league as a whole. Packaged fully customizable and animated for your pleasure."
Behold, the power of Google Motion using NBA data.
For example, I plotted PER vs. Time to come up with a graph that shows the progression of the starters on the Orlando Magic based on their respective PER's. I'll be quick to note that PER is not a be-all and end-all statistic to evaluate players, it's just a piece of the puzzle and nothing more. But with that said, there's a few things that jump out when looking at this chart. For instance, the PER's of Vince Carter, Dwight Howard, and Rashard Lewis converge very closely together in 2007 before each player's career takes a different turn.
According to the numbers, Carter and Lewis have been trending downward in a similar manner while Howard has been getting better (even though he's seeing a small dip in his PER this season). For Carter and Lewis, part of the explanation for their precipitous declines is simply due to an evolution in their roles. The decrease in the usage rates of both players the past few years is one example of that change. There are other factors, of course, but it's intriguing that Carter and Lewis respective careers mirror each other quite a bit.
Jameer Nelson's career arc has been interesting, too. Nelson has shown that, when healthy and at his best, he's an All-Star caliber player. But at the same time, Nelson has had to battle bouts of inconsistency.
So, I'll open things up for discussion. When you look at the chart, what stands out to you the most?
Here's a link to create a Google Motion chart, by the way, to conduct your own analysis. Familiarize yourself with the axes, color gradient, and size. You can use different variables to come up with a variety of comparisons, which makes the possibilities endless.
Enjoy.
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Great Post
My company uses Google Motion, and I love how versatile it is. It really does a good job illustrating the changes, especially when you put it into motion.
Thanks, yeah, Google Motion is a neat tool to use.
I write for Orlando Pinstriped Post and have a Twitter account.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
Like I said, PER is just a piece of the puzzle.
There are other metrics out there to quantify how good or bad a player is.
I write for Orlando Pinstriped Post and have a Twitter account.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
I know.
I am just sayin… I think they should adjust the baseline. I think PER is pretty accurate.
I know- Pure point, EFG%, Fit, etc.. help quantify value.
FEED THE BEAST!!!
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does PER take into account minutes per game?
what do people make of d12’s decreased PER this year? I know its not the “tell all” statistic but its still annoying to look at! Probably the 2009-2010 month-by-month of this same graph would cheer me up.
Yes, it does.
I don’t make anything of Howard’s decreased PER because I know why it’s dipped and it’s not a huge deal. That and there are a number of other metrics out there that show Dwight is having an excellent year.
I write for Orlando Pinstriped Post and have a Twitter account.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
Eddy, you should hold a class for our little Magic society (at least those of us that don't completely comprehend these different metrcis) to teach us all the definitions and importance of all these metrics so we don't continue to ask questions.
lol
NBA Championship or bust in '09-10!!!! GO MAGIC!!!!
And forget about trying to explain WARP to me.
Just looked it up and there were so many equations that I think a little blood starting coming out of my ears! lol
NBA Championship or bust in '09-10!!!! GO MAGIC!!!!
I agree
I understand some of it, but I would love to know what it all means..
FEED THE BEAST!!!
Twitter Account
Here's what I'll try to do.
I’ll attempt to come up with an advanced statistics “dictionary” . . . that way everyone can figure out what type of metrics Ben and I use, why we use them, and what those numbers attempt to quantify. So for example, WARP is Wins Above Replacement Player. Here’s what it attempts to look for, according to Kevin Pelton:
Conceptually, the WARP system seeks to evaluate players in the context of a team made up of them and four completely average players. The performance of this team is then compared to that of a team made up of four average players and one replacement-level player. The method also draws heavily on the work of Dean Oliver.
I write for Orlando Pinstriped Post and have a Twitter account.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
by erivera7 on Mar 5, 2010 4:44 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
That helps but it still doesn't cover everything.
It doesn’t explain adjusted plus/minus, PER, WARP, and other metrics I use. That’s a start, though.
I write for Orlando Pinstriped Post and have a Twitter account.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
HoopData
Is fantastic, that is where I got the urge to create my own. Mine uses different metrics as well as Data from Synergy, and only measures players with 15+ Poss since 04-05 If only I could do this full time.
Follow me on Twitter @invisininjapdx
That is a good idea
Since 2000 VC’s PER has gone up one year and down the following year. All of the starters PER is down from last season but I still think we’re a superior team this year.
Another MMA fan? Great stuff. Have you seen Aoki vs Hirota? Pretty amazing unless you’re squeamish.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0S6m2_DM6I
Life is a series of serious choices, theories are formed from experience, never mysterious forces. - stic.man
"I'm not impressed by your performance" - GSP

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