Fact or Fiction: The Orlando Magic Will Struggle Without Rashard Lewis For the First 10 Games of the 2009-2010 Regular Season
Fact or Fiction presents both sides of key issues the Orlando Magic will face in the upcoming NBA season.
The Orlando Magic will struggle in the first 10 games of the regular season, given that Rashard Lewis will be serving a suspension during that timeframe.
FACT: Schedule notwithstanding, Rashard Lewis is one of the most important players on the Orlando Magic roster. Head coach Stan Van Gundy had the benefit of playing an unconventional lineup the majority of the time this past year because of Lewis' ability to play more than adequately, defensively. As such, Van Gundy was able to use Lewis at the power forward position to take advantage of his unique skill-set, which conversely caused matchup problems for a number of teams, offensively.
With Lewis out for the start of the 2009-2010 season, Van Gundy will be forced to play a conventional lineup - presumably, by starting Brandon Bass at the four. Although Bass has the ability to shoot the mid-range jumper, the Magic offense won't be as potent because of the lack of another three-point shooter on the floor - meaning, Orlando's 4-out/1-in offense will be affected due to the personnel change. Statistically, Bass won't bring anything better to the table when it comes to defending and rebounding (his numbers are comparable to Lewis in both aspects).
So, unless Bass continues to develop as a player (which isn't a far-fetched conjecture, given that he's 24), the Magic should remain status quo defensively. The same can't be said offensively, due to the reasons already stated above.
FICTION: The simple explanation.
Of the first 10 games that Rashard Lewis will be missing in action, the Orlando Magic play only four teams (Philadelphia 76ers, Detroit Pistons, Phoenix Suns, Cleveland Cavaliers) that either a.) had a winning record or b.) went to the NBA playoffs. Only one squad, the Cavs, presents a difficult challenge to the Magic - unless superstitious Orlando fans still consider Detroit a "threat" due to past history. So, even though Lewis will be suspended for roughly the first two weeks, the Magic should be able to continue to win without him, given the opponents on the schedule. If one's playing "by the book" or "on paper", Orlando should realistically go 9-1 without Lewis.
The complicated explanation.
Head coach Stan Van Gundy isn't shy to experiment (see J.J. Redick starting in the playoffs), so although unlikely, it's entirely possible that he could start Ryan Anderson in place of Lewis. If one thinks about it, starting Anderson makes some sense. In speaking with ESPN's & Scount Inc.'s David Thorpe during the 2009 Orlando Pro Summer League back in July, he was quick to state that Anderson is a Lewis-lite version, given his ability to spread the floor at the power forward position and his willingness to post up, if necessary (traits that apply to Lewis' skill-set, exactly). Even the numbers prove the comparison as valid, as Kevin Pelton's SCHOENE projection system lists Lewis as a similar player to Anderson.
If Anderson were to start, the Magic would have the luxury of continuing to play an unconventional lineup that presents nightmarish matchup problems on a nightly basis. The 'pro' side is that Anderson is a better rebounder than Lewis, statistically. The 'con' side is that Anderson isn't as good of a defender as Lewis. As for everything else, Anderson can provide some of the same things that Lewis brings to the table.
Especially offensively.
Verdict: The Orlando Magic should be just fine without Rashard Lewis. That's not to easily dismiss Rashard's importance to the team, but speaks more to the depth and multitude of options head coach Stan Van Gundy has at his disposal. Having a schedule that isn't too difficult helps, also, in making the loss easier to cope. If the Magic can deal with the absence of Jameer Nelson for more than half the season, then the Magic can deal with the absence of Lewis for a little bit of the season.
With grateful acknowledgement to 3QC user bandrewg08, who suggested this topic.
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Comments
Nice post
IMO, I think we’ll be just fine. We have Jameer/VC/Howie so that gives us 3 Allstars for the first 10 games, I think Bass, Barnes, Anderson and maybe even Gortat can hold down that 4 spot while Rashard is on his mini vacation, I say 10-0. I have that much confidence in this team.
BTW, since Lew is suspended for the first 10 games, will he still be able to attend them? I would hate to see him miss out on the banner presentation in the first game.
"Blue and white...ignite...* BOOOOOM * !!!!! - Dwight Howard (Orlando Magic playoff jumbotron message)
by magic12ball on Sep 9, 2009 3:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't think he can attend =\
Remember when Dwight had to tweet from his hotel when he suspended for GM 6 vs Philly?
by bandrewg08 on Sep 9, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The first ten games of the season is when most teams get into a stride. I’m sure stan will have them pumped because lewis won’t be there. Motivationally, Barnes,Anderson,Bass have never been on a contender. lot’s of potential but lttle experience. The first ten games may be a challenge for stan. I would use this time to tell the players that he would use a 9 player rotation, and split the minutes. Except for Dwight. It would be an experiment for ten games. but if you can get the team to buyin. you could spread the minutes around. save the teams legs. save on injuries. Sink or swim, they must use this as a time to see what they got. If it works for ten games, it will work for the rest of the season. only time will tell.
by domprime1 on Sep 9, 2009 8:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well said
it is a great time to see what they got. i feel that bc bass and anderson have not been on contenders before would only fuel their motivation to develop and contribute. a hunch tells me that they have been working their asses off in the wake of an unfortunate opportunity.
by lugowsky on Sep 10, 2009 2:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They're both hard workers, so I wouldn't be surprised at the very least.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone
by erivera7 on Sep 10, 2009 4:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How freaking cool is that pic of Lewis blocking Yao too
by derekk on Sep 9, 2009 3:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Awesome pic
But then again even Nate has blocked him =P Poor guy.
by bandrewg08 on Sep 9, 2009 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Been waiting to use that picture.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone
by erivera7 on Sep 10, 2009 4:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
FICTION we will be just fine probly 9-1 at worst.
I think this will give all of our newly aquired players a chance to rotate in with alot of lineups. Since we have several multi position players(bass/carter/barnes/pietrus/) we can rely on Jameer-Dwight-Vince show to provide the bulk of scoring while getting valuable reps with guys championship teams tend to rely on come playoff time. This will help determine the best combos with our newer guys and expose them to the sets we use as our bread and butter. Losing Lewis for 12.5 % of the year could actually help us win the trophy. He will be fresher come playoffs and our bench will have invaluable court time that only losing a 42 min starter can simulate.
On a side note at least Foyle will get to dress 10 games.
Thats me chilling with Nick Anderson
by The Magic made Lebron run off the court on Sep 9, 2009 3:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Lewis' absence could be a blessing in disguise, sure.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone
by erivera7 on Sep 10, 2009 4:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
its not like his game will suffer from the 10 games off
Thats me chilling with Nick Anderson
by The Magic made Lebron run off the court on Sep 10, 2009 8:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think he and the team will be fine.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone
by erivera7 on Sep 10, 2009 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Start Ryan!
For the exact reasons stated above. I think his defense will be fine. Stan turned Rashard and Hedo into above average defenders and made JJ look like Bruce Bowen against Ray Allen in the playoffs. I think he can get something decent out of Ryan. Plus, he has the best help-defender in the game on his team.
by bandrewg08 on Sep 9, 2009 3:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Why has no one looked at the possibility that Matt Barnes starts the first 10 at PF?
by derekk on Sep 9, 2009 5:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He shoots 3’s, he’s a tough defender and hustle guy, he has played PF a lot in PHX last season, and he rebounds well for a SF/Combo PF, in fact almost exactly same rebounding rate as Lewis, but with Dwight inside for Barnes now, that could possibly be higher. He could possibly the smartest IQ guy for the job since he is a versatile 3pnt shooter combo F like Lewis, and not a natural banging PF like Bass. Probably has the most experience of Bass, Barnes, Anderson group. Does have the best assisting ability for the system out of the 3.
Only reasons would be because Lewis is a PF always when he gets back and Bass would lose play time, and some say Barnes is more of a situational PF, whereas Lewis has mastered both F spots as a true combo F.
by derekk on Sep 9, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That wouldn't be a good idea.
It’d leave Orlando thin in the backcourt.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone
by erivera7 on Sep 9, 2009 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus++
It is pretty much a consensus that Peaches is best suited backing up the SG spot rather than SF for the most part b/c guys like LeBron, Carmelo, etc give him trouble with their size. If you start VC, MP, and Barnes together, you’re only left w/Reddick @ the wing on the bench. My vote is to start Barnes @ SF and Anderson @ PF. Then we have JJ, MP, and Bass coming off the Bench. We don’t lose anything in depth w/that rotation.
by pianolady on Sep 9, 2009 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
An intriguing idea.
I wouldn’t mind starting Anderson, but I doubt it happens.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone
by erivera7 on Sep 10, 2009 4:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
bc hes not big enough to play long stretches at the position
plus reports from phoenix frequently noted their lack of trust in his judgement sometimes. they loved him off the bench though.
by lugowsky on Sep 10, 2009 2:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fiction
Won’t matter in any way that counts.
by CaliFlorida on Sep 10, 2009 2:11 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs


















