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Rashard Lewis' 10-Game Steroid Suspension Raises Key Questions for Coach Stan Van Gundy and his Orlando Magic

Now that we know Rashard Lewis is slated to miss the first 10 games of the 2009/10 season due to violating the NBA's steroid policy, it's time we tried to figure out how the Orlando Magic plan to replace his production. I grasped at straws yesterday when the news broke, listing Brandon Bass as potentially starting in Lewis' stead at power forward if coach Stan Van Gundy wanted a more conventional lineup. In contrast, Ryan Anderson and Matt Barnes would give the Magic the opportunity to play the one-in, four-out style to which they've come accustomed in the last two seasons, under Van Gundy and with Lewis. Right now, it's anybody's guess as to who'll get the nod. Not even Van Gundy knows for sure. Here's what he told Josh Robbins of the Orlando Sentinel after news of the suspension broke (brackets Robbins'):

"We're such a new team now that to say exactly what impact [it has] and who we play in place of him, that's hard to say."

Indeed, Orlando is in the unenviable position of replacing Lewis in the lineup, which it rarely has had occasion to do. Since joining the Magic in the summer of 2007, Lewis has missed a total of 4 games out of a possible 198, counting the playoffs. The first game came in December of 2007, a loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, in which Van Gundy shifted Hedo Turkoglu to power forward and moved Maurice Evans--who had yet to take Keith Bogans' job as the starting two-guard--into Turk's usual small-foward slot. Turk, Evans, and Bogans are no longer members of the Magic, so there's very little to take from this game from Orlando's standpoint.

More recently, but just as irrelevantly, Lewis sat out the last three games of this season in order to rest nagging ankle and knee injuries. The Magic had nothing at stake, having locked themselves into the Eastern Conference's third playoff seed, which may have contributed to Van Gundy's choosing to start Tony Battie at power forward during this stretch; were these games more significant, I'd wager that Lewis would not have sat at all. Battie didn't produce consistently last season, but he contributed well during the (admittedly meaningless) final three games, which took place against New Jersey, Milwaukee, and Charlotte, teams which were out of playoff contention. He averaged 16.3 points and 6 rebounds on 48.7% shooting. Not bad for Tony, although Orlando dropped two of those three games. Dwight Howard, incidentally, also rested during the game against the Bucks, making that game even less noteworthy for our purposes.

What we do know is that between Anderson, Barnes, and Bass, Orlando certainly has the personnel to absorb Lewis' minutes. What's far less clear is who will play the most, and more importantly, who will play the key moments down the stretch of close games. Van Gundy has a solid opportunity to tinker with his lineups early in the season, but let's not spin this story as a net positive for Orlando: the Magic will present much more challenges for opponents with their All-Star power forward on the floor, not without, as they will be forced to play the first few weeks of their schedule.

And it's not just the neophyte power forwards--Orlando aquired Anderson, Barnes, and Bass just this summer--who will have to take charge with Lewis out of the lineup. Newly acquired shooting guard Vince Carter must shoulder much of the scoring load, perhaps needing to average 20-plus points per game to start the season, and he'll need to accomplish some of it by taking more three-pointers than he might usually attempt under different circumstances. Lewis has teed-off from three-point range a staggering 1107 times over the last two seasons, or 1307 if one counts his playoff totals. Lewis' primary offensive functions were to a) shoot threes; b) spread the floor with his mere presence; and c) throw the occasional post entry pass to Dwight Howard from the top of the key. Orlando probably figured it'd count on Carter for those things anyway. Now, that need is even more pronounced.

And what of Howard, exactly? Even if Van Gundy elects to flank him with the floor-spreading Anderson or Barnes, neither will make opponents think twice about double-teaming him as Lewis does. Howard posted the second-highest usage rate of any Magic rotation player two seasons ago, and the highest last season. Might that figure take another hike this year, at least with Lewis sidelined? And if so, will the increased offensive responsibilities result in a dip in efficiency, or sap him of his much-needed defensive energy?

More questions than answers, and given the time of year, the Magic's lack of money, and GM Otis Smith's assertion (though one never knows for sure with him) that the team won't sign another player for a few weeks, Orlando fans will have plenty of time to consider the possibilities. So, too, will Van Gundy, who got the Magic all the way to the NBA Finals despite losing All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson for the stretch run. If he can guide his team to the Finals without Nelson--arguably more important to Orlando's success than Lewis--for 40 games last season, he can guide them through the first 10 games of this season without Rashard.

What isn't in doubt is Van Gundy's ability to get the most out of his team. What is, however, is the way in which he'll go about it in this instance, with so many new players to integrate, and an offense that thrives on the attention opponents must pay Lewis.

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Yeah, one would think that with Rashard's contract, he could buy some sweet black market stuff

Even though the Hippopotamus lacks a stinger for a tail, a truly wise man would rather be sat on by a bee. ~ Banacek

by funny80sguy on Aug 7, 2009 9:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rashard needs to be careful, or this could be his future. :)

"Fun fact: Larry Hughes, who couldn’t stay healthy if all his human parts were replaced with bionic implants, is out for the next four weeks with a bruised leg. Do you think that Willis Reed ever reads about all these players missing time with bruises and sprained fingers and throws up in his mouth a little?"

by Diosnomeama on Aug 7, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

It was most likely over the counter because DHEA is in products at GNC.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

But the reason it is banned,

I’m told, is because it is also the by-product of more potent forms of steroids. It is a bad deal for Lewis, a not terrible situation for the Magic, and a good deal for the NBA. The last thing the sport needs is for the athleticism to be minimized by steroid hysteria. At least baseball is already saturated with overweight players who huff and puff after sprinting 90 feet.

by downbeatitude on Aug 7, 2009 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well, I never foresee PED's to be a problem in basketball.

The sport is not conducive to that type of use.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Greenies on the other hand....

…..that’s gotta be a problem.

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Aug 7, 2009 6:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fo sho.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Perhaps.

I believe Rashard when he said it was honest mistake. I know people will say that’s naive to say, but I’m going to repeat this because it’s worth repeating it .. sometimes I think it’s important to look at a person’s character but rushing to judgment on his motives for doing whatever it what he/she was doing.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

On the lineup plan,

I think this is the best time to play Bass at starting 4, to get him acclimated good with Dwight. Why?

Because when ICE-O comes back to starting at “4”, Bass will have already gotten alot of PT/experience and is set to be the biggest rotation guy for Magic. Anderson is situational with Lewis/Barnes at the “4”. And Barnes/Pietrus is a separate debate too because of the big picture in the real lineup: Nelson, Carter, MP/Barnes, Lewis, Dwight.

by derekk on Aug 7, 2009 1:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Bass will presumably start for Lewis.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

So who starts at the 3?

No mistakes in the tango, darling. Not like life. Simple. That's what makes the tango so great. If you make a mistake, and get all tangled up, you just tango on.....

by pookeyguru on Aug 7, 2009 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Either Barnes or Pietrus.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is there more silver lining?

Lewis loses 1.6mil of his contract, does that still count to Magic’s cap tho? I would guess yes, but if not, thats 3.2mil Magic just saved.

Can Lewis play the Preseason games? It makes no sense why not, because they dont count, so Lewis should be able to play.

by derekk on Aug 7, 2009 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes, it counts against the cap.

.. and I’m pretty sure that Rashard can participate in the pre-season, though don’t quote me on that.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I dont even think SVG is going to play scrubs in preseason. He would play the starter lineup alot to mesh VC and maybe Barnes in the starter lineup

by derekk on Aug 7, 2009 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, the Magic don't have any scrubs to speak of.

At least, not yet.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 7, 2009 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Haha , your right. Consider me owned. But I hope the starters + Lewis play alot too.

by derekk on Aug 8, 2009 3:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

They'll see minutes, I'm sure.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on Aug 8, 2009 6:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

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