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Anthony Johnson, Come On Down!

Today, the NBA suspended Rafer Alston for Game 3 after he slapped Eddie House across the head late in the third quarter of last night' s game. No surprise there. 

 

With the news comes the reality, Anthony Johnson will start in his place tomorrow. Does it mean the Orlando Magic are in trouble versus the Boston Celtics? Not necessarily. Yes, Johnson is going to have his hands full with Rondo defensively but with the impending return of Courtney Lee for Game 3 (a player many expect to guard R2), Orlando head coach Stan Van Gundy may have some options on defense.

 

Let's clear the air first, though. Johnson is a good defender, but he can be exposed defensively when paired up against a quick point guard like Rondo. Johnson lacks the lateral quickness to keep Rondo in front of him, which is a problem. That's why Lee is anticipated to guard Rondo tomorrow some of the time if he ends up playing, because he has the athleticism, size, and speed to make it potentially difficult for Rondo to operate offensively. 

 

There's no doubt that Alston was the better player during the season, but I want to see how Johnson compares, solely on offense, during the playoffs.

 

 

Rafer Alston Anthony Johnson
Minutes Per Game (33.1) Minutes Per Game (15.8)
PER (13.4) PER (11.8)
TS% (48.0%) TS% (44.0%)
eFG% (45.6%) eFG% (43.0%)
assist % (27.2%) assist % (29.2%)
turnover % (10.5%) turnover % (10.2%)
Offensive Rating (102) Offensive Rating (102)

 

As you can see, there's not a noticeable difference between Rafer Alston & Anthony Johnson on offense so far in the postseason. Both players haven't been very efficient offensively, when you take into account the fact that their true shooting percentages, effective field goal percentages, and offensive ratings are all below average compared to the rest of the NBA. When talking about individual output, Johnson has been no better or worse than Alston on offense during the playoffs. But if there's one thing Johnson can do better than Alston, it's knocking down a shot when open. 

 

Another difference between the two individuals, as shown during the regular season, is that Alston is a better distributor (28.9 assist %) and facilitator than Johnson (21.2 assist %). Likewise, Alston (13.2 turnover %) doesn't turn the ball over as much as Johnson (16.4 turnover %). In essence, the offense flows much better with Alston running the show at the point, as opposed to Johnson handling the reigns. Granted, both players struggle to make lay-ups, but no one is perfect, right?

 

Lastly, Alston's adjusted plus/minus* is a bit better than Johnson's. Both numbers aren't very good, but it's worth comparing the overall impacts of both players. 

 

Actually, this statistical rundown sheds a bit of light on some of Orlando's struggles on offense during the postseason, but that's another subject entirely. Moving on. 

 

Can the Magic beat the Celtics tomorrow in Game 3? Sure. Having Lee back would help, but the jury is out on the type of impact the rookie could have against Boston. Being able to play in front of the home crowd will help out the squad too. In the end, it's going to take another team effort for Orlando to pull off the victory tomorrow.

 

Difficult, but not impossible. 

 

*during the postseason 

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Classic post title-lol

C’mon AJ show us what you got! Some interesting stats here, great post.

by Stan in a Van (Down by the River) on May 7, 2009 8:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hah. Thanks.

Glad you liked the write-up.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL remember when AJ dropped 20+ this season?

Any chance of that happening again?

Sports Picks 365
"Shoot first, ask questions last" Rafer Alston

by DieSlowKeyshawn on May 7, 2009 9:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Definitely Dad's best game of the year ..

.. I remember all the top 5 talk with B. Dizzle too. Classic rants on the subject.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

how many minutes do you guys

think Johnson gets? i think in crunch time…hedo will run the point

by celticinorlando on May 7, 2009 10:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Crunch time? Too many variables to know for sure but ..

.. I would suspect, yeah, that Turkoglu would have the ball. Personally, though, I would give the ball to Lee. Courtney doesn’t turn the ball over as much as Hedo and likewise, he’s been outplaying Turk offensively. Might sound surprising, but that’s my opinion. Obviously this is conducive with the rook playing tomorrow.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 10:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well I'll have a front row seat for this one...

or at least in the middle of the upper deck. either way, it will be… interesting(?).

by GuapoDCole on May 7, 2009 10:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

.. just make sure that the Magic crowd is LOUD.

I want the O-Rena to be poppin’ off like it was 1995.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have faith in AJ.

by Linix129 on May 7, 2009 10:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Johnson is a vet .. he knows what to do.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Plenty of experience and can shoot.

As long as he doesn’t have to gaurd Rondo he should be alright. That will be a load off. Hope Lee is up to the Task.

The Surfdog

by Surfdog on May 8, 2009 12:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hope so too.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 1:06 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But who would he guard if he wasn't guarding Rondo? Ray Allen?

He’d get eaten alive by all those screens! Paul Pierce? He’d have a field day. He’s a major liability on defense. Hell, even Starbury ate him up in Game 1!

by malars on May 8, 2009 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, that's where it gets tricky on defense.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have an idea of what he'll do ..

.. Courtney Lee will back-up Anthony Johnson. I really think that’s what’s going to happen because of the fact C. Lee WILL see minutes vs. Rajon Rondo.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yup.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 10, 2009 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice article, erivera7

A pleasure to visit this site after seven games of bulls fans posts. seems to be about basketball, whoda thunk it? I look forward to a great series between us.
I’m a big Celtics fan but what I really love is just great basketball. If yourteam plays it, I applaud, but my heart is green…

by jyrecelts on May 7, 2009 10:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No doubt, thanks the kind words!

Glad you enjoy the site. Ben and I do the best we can.

Thanks for dropping by .. best of luck to the C’s the remainder of the series.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 11:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Being the veteran that he is...

I’m confident A.J. will be ready and do a good job.

by Mike from Illinois on May 7, 2009 11:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I'm confident also.

.. besides, it’s only for one game. Dad doesn’t need to set the world on fire, just do his job.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 7, 2009 11:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

.. hah, he makes it his business to make posters.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 12:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That would be so awesome

Never will I ever utter "never" to myself
Fall in love with defeat, throw my endeavors on the shelf
I never back up like Cleo Lemon or myself - WALE

by EX-TREME on May 8, 2009 2:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 Hahaha he'd make that angry face like when he get's whistled for a foul

"It's difficult to win when you're outscored in every quarter." -Bill Walton

by betterthanburke on May 8, 2009 8:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've had a profitable NBA playoffs, IF the Magic win tonight and IF AJ drops 15+ (manageable)...

I will buy an Anthony Johnson jersey for next season and it’ll be my signature picture throughout the year next year.

Sports Picks 365
"Shoot first, ask questions last" Rafer Alston

by DieSlowKeyshawn on May 8, 2009 9:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

LOL .. I'm going to hold you to that.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

is lue on the playoff roster?

maybe we should put him on Rondo. I mean, he did ok against Iverson when he was with the lakers. Then again, that was like 10 years ago.

by pcnyc on May 8, 2009 9:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep, he's active.

Sports Picks 365
"Shoot first, ask questions last" Rafer Alston

by DieSlowKeyshawn on May 8, 2009 9:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Active but don't expect him to play.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Lue should start

AJ’s much better off the bench. But the problem is that Lue hasn’t really had much chance to run our offense so he probably can’t do it. Which is a shame.

Still, Lee in crunch time please. Even if he can’t shoot that well, he can stay with Rondo.

by eltharion_doa on May 8, 2009 1:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No way Lue should start .. as you alluded to, no PT.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Love this Van Gundy quote re the suspension

As a Pistons fan living vicariously through the Magic in this series, I loved this from Van Gundy (who, by the way, IMHO was very classy in the way he handled losses to Detroit).
--

Van Gundy compared it to the Boston-Chicago first round series when Rajon Rondo smacked Brad Miller in the face as he drove to the basket in the closing seconds of a close game. Rondo received only a personal foul call againt him and no suspension.

“The problem that players have, coaches have, and fans have, is they can’t fathom that the slap to the head (by Alston), which was minor, was a one game suspension. And what Rondo did to Brad Miler was nothing,‘’ Van Gundy said. "David Stern says the league can’t take the chance injury, but I’d say the Rondo-Miller play had a lot greater chance of injury than what Rafer did to House.’’

Van Gundy also confirmed that shooting guard Courtney Lee would return to action after missing the past three games — two in this series — after surgery to repair a fractured sinus cavity. Van Gundy then returned his discussion back to Rondo and why he never was suspended.

“The question everyone has is why, when Brad Miller is going to the hoop, why can (Rondo) just take a swing at somebody. The only ones who agreed that he didn’t wind up and follow through were Stu Jackson and David Stern,‘’ Van Gundy said. "Everybody else , including Boston fans, agreed that he (Rondo) wound up and followed through. But that’s how they saw it."

by Toledo Joe on May 8, 2009 2:08 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

SVG isn't afraid to speak his mind.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But he's not a whiner

I don’t recall him whining or making excuses after playing Detroit. So that plus this is evidence to me that he doesn’t complain unless he has a legit complaint.

by Toledo Joe on May 8, 2009 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He complains only when he feels it's warranted.

I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.

"Never hate your enemies. It affects your judgement." - Michael Corleone

by erivera7 on May 8, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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