What Went Wrong?
For Orlando Magic fans, yesterday's game versus the Philadelphia 76ers was a tough pill to swallow. What appeared to be a Game 1 romp as the third quarter wore on, turned into a Game 1 nightmare as the fourth quarter took shape. As some have suggested, maybe we should change the name of the site to 'Fourth Quarter Collapse' after last night.
Anyways, the question some of you may be asking is, what went wrong? The first thing I want to address is the fact Orlando was playing on more than three days rest. Why does that matter? If you remember, the Magic are 27th in efficiency differential when sitting out for that long. Certainly the proof was in the pudding, as the team didn't play its best game versus Philadelphia.
Well, with the help of a visual (courtesy of NBA Graphs), I can provide the main answer to the aforementioned question (I'm concentrating on the fourth quarter).
I'm sure everyone here is familiar with Popcorn Machine's flow chart, which shows the viewer a colored bar highlighting the impact a player made statistically, using help value, plus/minus, etc. Well, the premise behind NBA Graph's is similar but simpler, where the picture shows plus/minus in color gradients (yellow/red is plus, green/black is minus). It's a great way to visualize the positive or negative impacts of a team using the naked eye and provide a nice change of pace from staring at numbers all the time.
As you can see above, Donyell Marshall and Theo Ratliff made positive impacts in the fourth quarter for the 76ers. If you watched the game yesterday, Marshall's red bar should come as no surprise since he was lethal in limited playing time (11 points [3-4 from three-point range] in 11 minutes). His presence was definitely felt emotionally and statistically. However, Ratliff didn't light up the box score. No matter, because Ratliff did his thing in other ways - blocking shots, providing energy, rebounding the ball, etc.
Conversely, if you look closely at the graphic, you'll notice that Hedo Turkoglu had a negative impact for the Magic in the final frame (though he wasn't alone). Turkoglu tried his best to turn his switch on in the fourth quarter offensively but he was more preoccupied trying to contain Andre Iguodala defensively, who was pushing the pace for the Sixers at every opportunity. Credit Turkoglu for playing Iguodala perfectly in the final seconds of the game, though. Iguodala just made an incredible shot, nothing you can do about it if you're Turkoglu.
Overall, the Sixers just got hot at the right time (ironically, with three-point shooting), with Marshall and Ratliff as the main catalysts of the run (Louis Williams, too). Turkoglu was starting to get his legs back in the fourth quarter, so expect him to bounce back with a strong performance in Game 2. As for everyone and everything else, better hope the events of Game 1 woke Orlando up.
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We better improve
our 3-day lay off efficiency….and fast.
"I have come that you may have life, and life to the max"
by UNFNOLE on Apr 20, 2009 1:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hope so too.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
I comment WAY too much.
Die for my family and live for the moment/And that's the main difference between me and my opponent - Phonte of Little Brother
by erivera7 on Apr 20, 2009 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How can..
one of the worst 3 point shooting teams hit 6 in the last quarter? I’m hoping this is a wake up call for the team. SVG was telling them that their play was not great the last 2 weeks and it showed.
I’m REALLY hoping it is a wake up call…
by L Magico on Apr 20, 2009 1:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Philly just got hot at the right time.
.. they’re last in in the NBA in three-point shooting. They’ll regress to the mean, trust me.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
I comment WAY too much.
Die for my family and live for the moment/And that's the main difference between me and my opponent - Phonte of Little Brother
by erivera7 on Apr 20, 2009 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They're one of the worst 3 point shooting teams because 'yell doesn't play, ever.
He came in and hit 3, he’s a specialist, they try to outrun teams but when that strategy isn’t cutting it, they need to pull out all the stops, he came in and contributed, we can scream at the Magic for not paying enough attention to him when he was lurking on the perimeter, or simply tip our caps because they executed what we could not, making the big shots.
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"Shoot first, ask questions last" Rafer Alston
by DieSlowKeyshawn on Apr 20, 2009 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not making excuses, but.....
…let’s address the fact that Rashard and Turk were hampered….Turk appeared to be noticeably limping. True, you can’t blow an 18 point lead in the playoffs – but it says here that if those two are healthy, we don’t lose. Perhaps our big question now should be “can they get healthy” in time for the rest of the series? If not, Howard simply isn’t enough by himself (with apologies to Courtney Lee) to win.
by Shadman on Apr 20, 2009 2:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Rashard looked fine and said he was healthy after the game. I believe him.
.. Turk seemed uncomfortable out there, until the fourth quarter when he started to get in a little bit of a groove. It was stated on the TNT broadcast that Hedo was wearing ankle wrap and that it was the first time he ever had to tape his ankles (for good reason, obviously). It seemed apparent that he was trying to get accustomed to playing taped up. I think Turkoglu is relatively healthy, just needs to get back into rhythm.
Welcome to 3QC, btw!
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
I comment WAY too much.
Die for my family and live for the moment/And that's the main difference between me and my opponent - Phonte of Little Brother
by erivera7 on Apr 20, 2009 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I dont see game 2 being close
Think our guys will take it much more seriously, and with a game to warm up Hedo and Shard wont be missing shots they normally hit. And Donyell Marshall will be covered this time, no doubt.
Shaq sucks.
by Paul Finger on Apr 20, 2009 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
game 2
better be a blowout.
and of course we’ll win game 3 since i’ll be there! :rawk
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by mhetrick14 on Apr 20, 2009 2:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
rashard and hedo were just rusty
…i hope
by coque429 on Apr 20, 2009 2:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, both were rusty I would say ..
Hedo more so than Rashard.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
I comment WAY too much.
Die for my family and live for the moment/And that's the main difference between me and my opponent - Phonte of Little Brother
by erivera7 on Apr 20, 2009 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Quite a bit had to go right for the 76ers for them to pull that off
The game was a major disappointment, but I’m not concerned. Look at what all had to happen.
Turk was ineffective for most of the game. Getting over his injury no doubt. As others have noted, he seemed to start to get it going late in the fourth. He’ll be fine.
The 76ers went 7-12 from 3pt range, including a bunch in the fourth. Orlando ranks as having the 2nd best perimeter defense in the league. That’s just not something thats going to repeat itself.
Howard went down for a while after getting hit in the eye. This is really what sparked Philadelphia’s rally. With Howard back in the locker room, they quickly chipped into the lead.
Lou Williams. This guy’s a 39% shooter on the season, 28.6% from three point range. he goes 3 for 3 from downtown, and 7-11 from the field. That’s not happening again.
Yeah I’m irritated the Magic lost. But I don’t feel the slightest bit different about the series than I did going into yesterday. The Magic simply aren’t going to lose. They’re not. This is why they play 7 games, and not single elimination ;)
by RussL on Apr 20, 2009 2:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, Rashard said it best.
This isn’t the NCAA Tournament. One game isn’t going to eliminate you.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
I comment WAY too much.
Die for my family and live for the moment/And that's the main difference between me and my opponent - Phonte of Little Brother
by erivera7 on Apr 20, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What went right for Orlando?
Just to look at the other side of the coin for a moment…
Howard finished with 31 points, taking only 13 shots. Thats ridiculous. (D12 did lead the league in Points Per Shot this year at 1.66) This really seemed like an ordinary game from the big man, too. He wasn’t anywhere close to Erivera’s “Optimus Prime Mode.” And he sat out several critical minutes after getting hit in the eye. Its all but guaranteed he blows up for 40/20 in at least one of these games.
Lets not forget the fact that Dwight shot 9-12 from the line. He did that even with the TNT announcers doing their best to jinx him. If he can continue to do something reasonably close to that…. wow.
Lee. Wow. He sure looked like a rookie in the first quarter, but from there, what a performance. He absolutely took the game over for a few stretches, making some huge shots. After that shaky first quarter, he shot 8-13.
AJ. 13 minutes, 9 points on 4-6 shooting, three boards, 2 assists, one steal, and one monster game-changing dunk. Can’t ask for any more than that.
by RussL on Apr 20, 2009 3:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
To be frank, not a lot went right for the Magic.
The three players you listed were the only peeps that I felt played well yesterday. The ultimate spin I can put on that statement is that it bodes well for Orlando since Lewis, Turkoglu, and others will bounce back.
I'm the other guy at Third Quarter Collapse, with a Twitter account.
I comment WAY too much.
Die for my family and live for the moment/And that's the main difference between me and my opponent - Phonte of Little Brother
by erivera7 on Apr 20, 2009 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not worried.
Like I said at the beginning of the season, I thought we were too cocky and expected to win and that’s why we lost the first two. Once we humble ourselves and stop looking forward to Boston (who also lost) we will get back to Magic basketball and win. Mock my words, “Magic in 5.”
by hevchv on Apr 20, 2009 6:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
No I mean mock.
Just incase they don’t win, I can say I was just kidding.
by hevchv on Apr 20, 2009 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Someone will definitely talk about my over zealous enthusiasm.
by hevchv on Apr 20, 2009 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs



















