Looking at the Orlando Magic's Statistics after the First 10 Games
With 10 games under the Orlando Magic's belt, I figured now would be a decent time to take a look at some of the numbers the team has accumulated from the start of the regular season to now. The resources I'll be using for analysis come from Basketball-Reference, Hoopdata, and 82games . Normally, I'd use BasketballValue as well but the 1 year adjusted plus/minus figures are plagued with high standard errors at the moment, which makes it tough to come to any meaningful conclusions from what the statistics show.
To make things easier for you, the reader, I'm going to split the post into sections for each site. Also, I want to clarify that I'm looking at offensive numbers at Basketball-Reference & Hoopdata and I'm looking at defensive numbers at 82games. That way there's no confusion.
Basketball-Reference:
Only two players have played all 10 games for the Orlando Magic this year and they are the captains, Dwight Howard and Jameer Nelson.
Despite having to deal with foul trouble, nearly on a game-by-game basis, Howard has been able to post some impressive stats. Howard leads the squad in PER (26.9) and in the same category, ranks 5th in the NBA as of November 15th. Likewise, Howard's offensive numbers are excellent - TS% (66.9%), eFG% (65.7%), and Offensive Rating (120) - as well. For all the talk about Howard's rebound and block totals, his total rebound percentage is 20.2%, which isn't far off from his total from last year (21.8%), and his block percentage is 4.4%, which matches his career total (4.2%). Perhaps Howard's blocking statistics this past season (5.9%) were an outlier or he's simply off to a slow start. Tough to say.
As for Jameer Nelson, he's been inconsistent, so far. Nelson has shown flashes of the brilliance that made him an All-Star last year, but for the most part, his numbers have not reflected that. Nelson's PER is above-average (16.4) but his shooting percentages have been roughly average - TS% (53.5%), eFG% (50.0%) - and he hasn't been efficient, with an Offensive Rating of 106. No point in pressing the panic button, though. It's still early in the season and Nelson has been historically known to get on hot streaks on offense. As head coach Stan Van Gundy said a few days ago, the numbers will even out at the end.
Vince Carter, in and out of the lineup because of an ankle injury he sustained against the New Jersey Nets in the second game of the year, has been playing well. His PER (19.8) is at a borderline All-Star level and Carter's offensive numbers have been efficient - TS% (55.8%), eFG% (52.9%), and an Offensive Rating of 111. Carter hasn't been shy to use up possessions, either, sporting the highest usage rate (27.8%) on the team. Because Carter has been shooting efficiently, that hasn't been a problem. For Carter, it's been so far, so good on offense. More importantly, Carter is a defined "closer" and the second option for the Magic.
It should be noted that sample size is always a concern when examining stats this early in the season but one has to note how impressive Ryan Anderson has been, from a statistical sense. His PER has been outstanding (21.5) and his offensive numbers have been staggeringly efficient - TS% (60.6%), eFG% (58.7%), and an Offensive Rating of 118. One has to wonder if Anderson will be able to continue this torrid pace, especially with Rashard Lewis back in the starting lineup, but one has to be encouraged by how well he has been playing offensively. Again, it's early, but Anderson's numbers have been far superior to Courtney Lee's, the player he "replaced."
And the team numbers? Orlando ranks, as of today, 10th in offensive efficiency and 12th in defensive efficiency. Good stats, but certainly could be better. Especially when it comes to the offense, which is fully capable of leading the Association in offensive efficiency when it's all said and done.
Hoopdata:
As my colleague Jon Nichols wrote last week in his examination of Vince Carter and Hedo Turkoglu, Hoopdata is a new site that tracks some valuable data. Here's an examination at how the Orlando Magic have performed offensively, when taking a look at shot location:
rankings in parentheses/stats are as of November 15th
| FG | FGA | FG% | %AST* | |
| At Rim | 15.5 (17) | 25.1 (20) | 61.8% (10) | 49.2% (16) |
| <10 Feet | 2.8 (26) | 6.3 (25) | 44.4% (12) | 39.3% (13) |
| 10-15 Feet | 2.8 (16) | 6.8 (19) | 41.2% (11) | 32.1% (17) |
| 16-23 Feet | 5.8 (29) | 14.6 (30) | 39.7% (10) | 41.4% (29) |
| Threes | 9.3 (2) | 25.4 (2) | 54.9% [eFG%] (10) | 80.6% (23) |
*percent of assisted field goals
It's no secret that the Magic shoot a ton of threes and this information shows that, but it's fascinating to see where the team's shots are concentrated at. Or most notably, where they're not - the mid-range section. As one knows or should know, the mid-range shot is the most inefficient in basketball so it makes sense that Orlando would, for the most part, eschew from shooting it. It's a concept that Van Gundy is aware of and putting into practice.
82games:
There's been a lot of chatter about Jameer Nelson's defense and the fact that it needs to improve for the Orlando Magic, so it's only justifiable to take a peak at what the numbers state. As always, it's important to note that advanced defensive statistics are a work in progress but they do a decent job of painting a picture as to how good or bad a player is, defensively.
People have commented that it seems like Nelson has regressed, a bit, on defense compared to last year, where he rated as an above-average defender. This year, the numbers aren't as kind to Nelson.
| Jameer Nelson | |
| adj. defensive plus/minus | +4.61 |
| opponent PER vs. PG's | 19.7 |
| net defensive plus/minus | +5.0 |
| eFG% allowed | 50.2% |
Not good. Again, it's early but it's imperative that Nelson rounds back into form on the defensive side of the ball. This past season, the Magic were able to finish the season ranked 1st in defensive efficiency, partly because Nelson was able to play good defense. Van Gundy knows the importance of Nelson [and Dwight Howard] being one of the leaders, defensively, for the squad.

There's certainly more players I could have examined in this write-up but I wanted to touch on some of the individuals who have received a lot of attention from various media outlets. It's a long season so there will be plenty of time to talk about different storylines as they present themselves.
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Comments
Good stuff E7
The team offensive numbers are interesting. Magic are taking the two of the best three shots in the game (any numbers on free throw rate?). Once we get Lewis and Ryan back together, the offensive efficiency is going to sky rocket.
And yes, Nelson needs to contain his man better. Is it really all mental, or is he a step slower?
Per Hoopdata, the Magic are 12th in free throw rate (32.6%).
I write for Third Quarter Collapse and have a Twitter account. Like us? Please vote for 3QC in the Orbbies, Orlando's Rockin' Blogs, hosted by the Orlando Sentinel. We're nominated for the best Sports and Overall blog.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
It looks like the Magic need some improvement there as well.
I think they’re actually 13th, looking at that table. I may be wrong, but I don’t think it’s a percentage… perhaps FTs per game?
Last season, they were 3rd (!) in the NBA at 35.5. I’m sure the number will go up once Dwight stays out of foul trouble more this season.
by thermodynamic on Nov 16, 2009 3:27 PM EST up reply actions
You're right, it's not a percentage.
That was impulse on my part to put that there. And they’re 13th, too. Epic fail on my part. As for whether or not the team will improve, I’m sure they will. It’s a long season, things will even out.
I write for Third Quarter Collapse and have a Twitter account. Like us? Please vote for 3QC in the Orbbies, Orlando's Rockin' Blogs, hosted by the Orlando Sentinel. We're nominated for the best Sports and Overall blog.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
And yes, Nelson needs to contain his man better. Is it really all mental, or is he a step slower?
maybe he’s lazy
"Blue and white...ignite...BOOOM! - Dwight Howard
Jameer's definitely not lazy.
I write for Third Quarter Collapse and have a Twitter account. Like us? Please vote for 3QC in the Orbbies, Orlando's Rockin' Blogs, hosted by the Orlando Sentinel. We're nominated for the best Sports and Overall blog.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
Thanks.
I write for Third Quarter Collapse and have a Twitter account. Like us? Please vote for 3QC in the Orbbies, Orlando's Rockin' Blogs, hosted by the Orlando Sentinel. We're nominated for the best Sports and Overall blog.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
Another great one..
We are so lucky that we have two aces ( BenQ & ER7 ) that do all this research for us in Magic-land, put it down so a dummy like me can see it/read it, as well as keep it more interesting than all of the other gobbledygook I get from the so called experts. Read a few other blogs of NBA teams and you’ll wake up with the keyboard impressed upon your forehead!!! TQC Rocks!
Two games to get our rotation in order, Friday will be our first real game at FULL strength. I’d love to see about 84-80 Magic. It will count for one in the standings but maybe 1.25 in the hearts and minds. It’s starting to get real good boys and girls!!! And not even Thanksgiving!!!
Great stuff. Except for FGAs and I imagine more midrange shots, Jameer had a similar offensive start last year but was not this defensively bad. He will bounce into a high level soon I think.
by derekk on Nov 16, 2009 4:12 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Yeah, I wouldn't be worried about Nelson's slow start.
I write for Third Quarter Collapse and have a Twitter account. Like us? Please vote for 3QC in the Orbbies, Orlando's Rockin' Blogs, hosted by the Orlando Sentinel. We're nominated for the best Sports and Overall blog.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat
It's possible that Jameer just had a career year last season...
and we won’t see him play as well on either end of the floor. Just throwing it out there. We all expect him to “bounce back.” Maybe this is what to expect this season. That being said, defensively the only way to go is up.
It's not a dunk unless your hand makes contact with the rim. Yeah, I'm talkin' to you, "Superman..."
We have been preaching that his numbers were abnormally high last year.
That’s not the issue. Thing is, Jameer can still play better because his numbers are a little too low.
I write for Third Quarter Collapse and have a Twitter account. Like us? Please vote for 3QC in the Orbbies, Orlando's Rockin' Blogs, hosted by the Orlando Sentinel. We're nominated for the best Sports and Overall blog.
"The second unit is kind of crazy because the second unit is only white guys." - Marcin Gortat

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